A truck passes containers at PSA’s Tanjong Pagar container terminal in Singapore. (Reuters Photo)
SINGAPORE- Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports rose 10.7 percent in August from the same month a year earlier, data on Tuesday showed, buoyed by a rise in both electronic and non-electronic products.
Last month’s growth compared with a Reuters poll forecast of a 15 percent increase, and extended the 15.7 percent expansion in July.
On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, non-oil domestic exports fell 4.7 percent in August, following July’s 12.2 percent expansion. That was steeper than analysts’ predictions for a 3.3 percent decline.
Among key markets, the largest contributors to the export growth were Hong Kong, China and Malaysia, while shipments to Europe and Japan declined, Enterprise Singapore said.
Exports to Hong Kong expanded by 70.6 percent from a year earlier due to integrated circuits, non-monetary gold and disk media products.
Exports to China grew 18.8 percent due to specialized machinery, non-monetary gold, and pharmaceuticals.
Economists have upgraded their expectations for Singapore’s growth in 2024, according to a survey by the country’s central bank, with better-than-expected external growth seen as the top upside driver for the economy.
The median forecast of 21 economists surveyed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is for the economy to grow 2.6 percent this year, up from a forecast of 2.4 percent in surveys done in March and June. They also forecast economic growth of 2.5 percent in 2025.
A majority of the economists surveyed by MAS did not expect any change in policy settings at the central bank’s review in October. They expect the city-state’s economy to grow by an annual 2.6 percent in the third quarter of this year.
The September survey showed economists had lifted expectations for 2024 growth in finance and insurance, construction, wholesale and retail trade sectors.
Last month, the trade ministry adjusted its GDP growth forecast range for 2024 to 2.0 percent to 3.0 percent, from 1.0 percent to 3.0 percent previously as Q2 GDP outperformed market expectations at 2.9 percent.
The median forecast for headline inflation for 2024 was 2.6 percent, down from 2.8 percent in the previous June survey. The median forecast for core inflation was 2.9 percent, down slightly from 3.0 percent from the previous survey.
Core inflation fell to 2.5 percent in July, the smallest annual increase in more than two years. The central bank expects core inflation to ease more significantly in the final quarter of this year and has forecast core inflation at 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent this year.
The MAS left monetary policy settings unchanged in July. It has not changed policy since a tightening in October 2022, which was the fifth tightening in a row, as broader concerns about growth kept authorities sidelined.
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