The Philippines’ internet economy is expected to reach $25 billion by 2025, more than four times the estimated $7 billion value this year, according to a research report by Google Temasek Holdings Pte and Bain & Co.
The significant growth in the value of online transaction will be driven by strong adoptions e-commerce, ride hailing services, and online travel in the country.
However, the Philippines’ internet economy is the lowest in Southeast Asia.
Indonesia is the biggest contributor to Southeast Asia’s internet economy at $40 billion this year and is expected to more than triple to $133 billion by 2025.
Thailand’s internet economy is seen to grow to $50 billion from $16 billion in 2019.
The internet economies of Singapore and Vietnam are both valued at $12 billion, and are expected to grow to $27 billion and $43 billion by 2025, respectively.
Malaysia will grow to $26 billion from $11 billion.
Millions of people in the region take up online shopping and embrace ride-share food delivery, the report said.
To hit that target, the online industry is expected to grow by 200 percent over the next five years from an estimated $100 billion this year.
The annual report lifted its 2025 outlook from $240 billion previously after a tripling in growth in the past four years alone as young internet users turn to their phones to do everything from banking and playing games to purchasing plane tickets.
“This pace of growth has exceeded all expectations,” the 64-page report said. “Internet access is now affordable for large segments of the population and consumer trust in digital services has improved significantly.”
More than $37 billion has been invested in Southeast Asian online companies over the past four years with the majority going into e-Commerce firms like fashion retailer Zilingo and ride-hailing Unicorns such Grab and Gojek, the report found.
Ride-hailing alone was worth $13 billion, quadrupling in value since 2015, and was expected to reach $40 billion by 2025, when food delivery will be worth as much as transport.
Southeast Asia’s average growth rate of 5 percent per year since 2014 puts it far ahead of the global average and makes it an attractive investment destination as the Chinese economy is hobbled by the Sino-United States trade war.
There are 360 million internet users across the countries covered in the report – Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, Singapore and the Philippines – up from 260 million four years earlier.
That compares to around 4.4 billion internet users worldwide, up 9 percent on a year ago, according to wearesocial.com, a digital monitoring service.
However, there are some significant headwinds to the rapid regional growth, most notably regulatory risks and a shortage of skilled labor.
Malaysia’s competition regulator on Thursday proposed a fine of more than 86 million ringgit ($20.53 million) on Grab for violating the country’s competition law by preventing its drivers from promoting rival services. Grab has a month to appeal before a final decision.
Meanwhile, Singapore this week implemented a law requiring social media sites like Facebook and Twitter to carry corrections or remove content the government considers to be false. Rights groups have expressed concern the “fake news” law will curb internet freedoms.
The industry is also still struggling to fill labor gaps, with demand for skilled tech workers far outstripping supply.
Even Singapore, which has tight restrictions on foreign labor, has said it will pursue more talent from overseas as it ramps up efforts to grow the sector.
“Talent remains a pressing constraint despite all efforts by internet economy companies to ‘fill the gap’,” the report said. – Reuters