BEIJING- China’s industrial profits fell again in October but less sharply than the previous month as deflation pressures dragged while demand remained soft in the crisis-hit $19 trillion economy.
Fresh headwinds from additional US tariffs could also threaten China’s industrial sector next year, reducing export earnings.
The sprawling sector, which includes mining, processing and manufacturing companies, has struggled to stay profitable in the face of feeble domestic demand hit by a years-long property crisis, unemployment and rising trade tensions.
Policymakers have vowed to meet the government’s gross domestic product growth target of around 5 percent this year even as US President-elect Donald Trump pledges to slap more tariffs on China-made goods.
Industrial profits in October fell 10 percent year on year, better than a 27.1 percent slump in September though earnings slid 4.3 percent in the first 10 months versus a 3.5 percent decline in January-September, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed on Wednesday.
Profits in most industries improved compared with the previous month, with new drivers such as equipment and high-tech manufacturing playing a strong supporting role, NBS statistician Yu Weining said in an accompanying statement.
But some private-sector economists attributed the October improvement partly to the effect of a low base from a year earlier. Industrial profits in October 2023 grew 2.7 percent, easing from double-digit gains in August and September last year.
“For the October monthly data alone, the year-on-year level has a lot of noise due to base effects, and the difference can largely be attributed to this,” said Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING.
“Overall, profits are still under some pressure this year as the 4.3 percent year-on-year decline year-to-date shows, though there is hope that as more policy easing starts to come through, the operating environment will become more favorable next year.” Separate economic indicators earlier this month pointed to broadly soft demand, with consumer prices at their weakest in four months while industrial output continued to trend downward and new home prices fell at their fastest pace in nine years
