NEW YORK- Oil dropped by about 2 percent on Friday, logging a second weekly decline, due to concern about weakened demand in China and further increases to US interest rates.
Brent crude settled at $87.62 a barrel, falling $2.16, or 2.4 percent. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $80.08 a barrel, losing $1.56, or 1.9 percent.
Both benchmarks posted weekly losses, with Brent down about 9 percent and WTI roughly 10 percent.
A stronger US dollar, which makes oil more expensive to non-American buyers, pushed down crude prices.
The market structure of both oil benchmarks shifted in ways that reflect dwindling supply concerns.
Crude came close to record highs earlier this year as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine added to those worries. In addition, the front-month futures contract soared to a gigantic premium over later-dated contracts, a signal that people were worried about the immediate availability of oil and were willing to pay handsomely to secure supply.
Those supply concerns are waning. The current WTI contract is now trading at a discount to the second month, a structure known as contango, for the first time since 2021, RefinitivEikon data showed.
This condition will also benefit those looking to put more oil in inventories for later, especially with stocks still at low levels.
“The deeper the contango, the more likely the market will put those barrels in storage,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York.
Brent was still in the opposite structure, backwardation, though the premium of nearby Brent over barrels loading in six months fell as low as $3 a barrel, the lowest since April.
China, which sources say is looking to slow crude imports from some sources, has seen a rise in COVID-19 cases while hopes for less aggressive US rate hikes have been dented by remarks from some Federal Reserve officials.
“The situation in China with COVID continues to haunt this market,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York. “So much optimism gets priced in to the market as soon as they try to say that they’re going to reopen, but then the reality on the ground is just completely opposite of that hopeful analysis.”
As the European Union’s ban on Russian crude looms on Dec. 5, the prospect of more barrels from Russia pressuring the spot crude oil market also weighed on futures prices.
Recession concerns have dominated this week even with a tightening of supply by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, together known as OPEC+.
