BENGALURU- Oil prices rose to a more than seven-year peak and recorded their sixth straight weekly gain as geopolitical turmoil exacerbated concerns over tight energy supply.
On a weekly basis, the benchmark contracts notched their longest run of gains since October.
Brent futures rose 69 cents to settle at $90.03 a barrel, after hitting $91.70, the highest level since October 2014.
US crude closed 21 cents higher at $86.82 per barrel, after hitting a seven-year peak of $88.84 during the session.
Tight oil supplies pushed the six-month market structure for Brent into steep backwardation of $6.92 a barrel, the widest since 2013. Backwardation exists when contracts for near-term delivery of oil are priced higher than those for later months, encouraging traders to release oil from storage to sell it promptly.
Major producers in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies led by Russia, collectively known as OPEC+, have struggled to raise their production levels.
The market also reacted to attacks on United Arab Emirates by Yemen’s Houthi group.
Prices drew support from concerns over a possible military conflict in Ukraine that could disrupt energy markets, especially natural gas supply to Europe.
“So far there has been no supply disruptions in Eastern Europe, so guess the risk premium related to those tensions is not so high,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. He added, “Some investors still prefer to hold their exposure.”
US crude futures did briefly turn negative earlier in the session.
Matt Smith, director of commodity research at ClipperData, said relatively softer US rhetoric on Russia may have led to “some of the air being let out of the tires on this crude rally.”
“But the bigger picture here is that with all the geopolitical uncertainty and the supply side concerns, prices are continuing to just get swept along,” he said.
At its Feb. 2 meeting, OPEC+ is likely to stick with a planned rise in its oil output target for March, several OPEC+ sources told Reuters.
Oil prices are showing signs of overheating as traders anticipate a severe shortage of petroleum this year: inventories are already low and there is little spare capacity to raise production in the short term.
Spot prices are climbing rapidly and the futures market has moved into one of the most extreme backwardations in the last three decades, a classic signal the market is expected to become very tight.
Front-month Brent futures prices have risen by more than 20 percent over the last two months as fears about an Omicron-driven slowdown in consumption have been replaced by concern about the slow increase in production.
Brent’s six-month calendar spread has surged into a backwardation of more than $6 per barrel, which puts it in the 99th percentile for all trading days since 1990.
