SINGAPORE- Oil prices nudged lower for a second straight session on Monday, weighed down by a firmer dollar as expectations of interest rate cuts were pushed out further following strong US jobs data on Friday.
Brent crude futures and US West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped 4 cents to $79.58 and $75.49 a barrel, respectively.
On Friday, data showed the US added more jobs than expected last month, leading investors to trim expectations for rate cuts and causing the dollar to rally.
A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated commodities such as oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.
The euro also came under pressure, reflecting uncertainty in the eurozone after French President Emmanuel Macron called snap legislative elections for later in June after he was trounced in the European Union vote by Marine Le Pen’s far-right party.
“Regarding Macron and elections, it does create another layer of uncertainty, coming after the upside surprise in US non-farm payrolls, which saw yields scream higher,” Tony Sycamore, a Sydney-based analyst at IG said.
The markets are focused on the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan meetings this week, with the risks of more hawkish outcomes, Sycamore said.
“That will likely create more angst amongst some of the member states of OPEC+ as to when they can return their cuts back to the market given the negative reception this proposal received last week post the OPEC+ meeting,” he added.
Brent and WTI posted their third straight weekly loss last week on concerns that a plan to unwind production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, a group known as OPEC+, from October will add to rising global supply.
The announcement coincided with a rise in total commercial OECD crude and product stocks on land to an estimated 48 million barrels in May, compared with the average build of 30 million barrels during 2015-2019, energy consultancy FGE said.
Analysts and traders expect summer holiday demand to reduce stockpiles and support prices.
“We continue to expect the market to firm up and crude prices to reach mid-US$80/bbl levels as we move into 3Q 2024, but it will likely need a convincing signal of tightening from preliminary inventory data,” FGE said.
