Japan trade deficit seen greater

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TOKYO- Japan likely ran the biggest trade deficit in eight years in January as persistent rises in fuel and raw material costs swelled imports, according to economists polled by Reuters.

Data will likely show Japan suffered a trade deficit of 1,607 billion yen ($13.91 billion) in January, the biggest shortfall since January 2014.

Imports likely jumped 37.1 percent in January on rising raw material and fuel costs, outpacing a 16.5 percent gain in exports, the poll showed.

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Core machinery orders, also due next week, likely fell 1.8 percent month-on-month in December to mark the first decline in four months, the poll showed.

Japan’s exports and imports in December hit record highs in terms of their value in yen, data showed on Thursday, as supply bottlenecks eased at the end of 2021 amid rising prices.

However, a persistent semiconductor shortage remained a headache for Japanese firms such as automaker Toyota, which slashed its near-term output target this week, in addition to uncertainties around the Omicron variant.

“There’re considerable uncertainties” from Omicron, Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute said, adding it could derail various aspects of Japan’s economy from firms’ overseas supply chains to domestic consumption.

Exports in December rose 17.5 percent from a year earlier, Ministry of Finance data showed, outstripping a 16.0 percent gain expected by economists in a Reuters poll but below a 20.5 percent rise in November. – Reuters

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