Sunday, April 20, 2025

FROM RECORD HIGHS; Asia oil shipping rates slip

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HOUSTON/NEW YORK/LONDON- Freight rates to ship US crude to Asia eased on Tuesday from record levels as the shock of a global tanker shortage due to US sanctions on a Chinese firm began to fade, according to market sources.

Shipping US crude to some of the largest Asian customers became unprofitable after costs rose as high as $11 a barrel in the past two weeks, threatening to crimp November shipments.

In late September, the United States imposed sanctions on two units of China’s COSCO, which operates more than 50 supertankers. Washington alleged that the units violated US sanctions on Iran. Freight rates for supertankers surged across the globe to ship oil, particularly to Asia.

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As of Tuesday, the assessed rate for chartering a supertanker from the US Gulf Coast to Singapore ranged from $16 million to $17.2 million, or about $8 to $8.50 per barrel, shipbrokers said. That was down as much as $6 million from estimates on Monday, they said.

Suggested rates to China dropped to $17.5 million, or about $8.75 a barrel, from a record $22 million, according to another shipbroker.

The drop in prices followed a lull in US oil tanker fixtures since late last week, shipbrokers said. Analysts said a long period of such lofty rates could pinch US exports.

“Tanker rates need to re-rate back to economically palatable levels to entice US exports,” said Michael Tran, commodity strategist at RBC Capital Markets. “The astronomical freight rates of last few days had eroded export economics from the Gulf Coast.”

In early October, US oil exports to Asia dropped to 508,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the seven-day period ended Oct. 7, from 1.1 million bpd in the previous week, according to market intelligence firm Kpler.

US crude exports worldwide were 3.4 million bpd in the first week of October, highest since mid-June, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

Though freight rates have begun to ease, traders said US crude exports in the second half of November could still drop if tanker fixture activity remains low. Supertankers, known as Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs), can carry around 1.8 million to 2 million barrels apiece.

Freight Rates for VLCCs from the Arab Gulf to Asia had reached more than $300,000 per day, but by Tuesday dropped to $200,000 per day, according to tanker market data published by ship brokerage firm Charles R. Weber Company Inc.

Some vessels that were booked provisionally from the Arab Gulf and US Gulf Coast have also failed over the past two days, brokers said. – Reuters

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