Thursday, May 22, 2025

Stocks surge

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SINGAPORE- Asian shares notched seven month highs on Wednesday, on the back of record peaks on Wall Street, as investors mostly shrugged off slightly hotter-than-expected US inflation, betting it won’t derail interest rate cuts expected by the middle of the year.

A Reuters report earlier in the week that China had asked banks to enhance financial support for developer China Vanke has also put support beneath Hong Kong stocks.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.2 percent  to its highest level since early August. The Hang Seng advanced 0.4 percent  to 3-1/2 month highs.

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Tokyo’s Nikkei was steady and focus in Japan is on springtime wage negotiations underway this week, with pay hikes seen encouraging an exit from negative interest rates perhaps as early as next week.

Overnight data showed US consumer prices increased a solid 0.36 percent  in February against expectations for a 0.3 percent  rise, amid higher costs for fuel and shelter, though on an annual basis core CPI slowed slightly to 3.8 percent .

“It does not blow a mid-2024 rate cut out of the water,” said Vishnu Varathan, chief economist for Asia excluding Japan at Mizuho Bank in Singapore. “Despite bumpiness in the path, the direction of travel is consistent.”

US Treasury yields rose after the reading, with two-year yields finishing the New York session 6.5 basis points higher at 4.599 percent  and 10-year yields climbing 5.1 bps to 4.155 percent . Early trade in Tokyo was steady.

Interest rate futures also fell slightly in response, though pricing for June slipped only marginally to imply about a 68 percent  chance of a cut and US stock indexes – after hesitating – surged to record highs.

“Equity markets were braced for worse or were not listening,” noted National Australia Bank economist Taylor Nugent.

The S&P 500 rose 1.1 percent  to log a record closing high. Shares of database giant Oracle rose 12 percent  after the company beat profit estimates and mentioned an upcoming join announcement with market darling Nvidia.

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