Oil prices remain weak

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NEW YORK – Oil prices were mixed with weak Chinese economic figures and rapidly filling US crude storage offsetting bullishness built on US President Donald Trump’s outlines for the US economy to emerge from the coronavirus shutdown.

US crude futures hit a more than 18-year-low, extending their losses in comparison to global benchmark Brent, in part due to the coming expiration of the current May contract.

However, later-dated futures contracts were also down as the country’s storage rapidly fills, and producers and traders expect output cuts in coming months.

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Oil prices have remained weak even after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers last weekend announced a deal to cut output by nearly 10 million barrels per day (bpd) in response to weak demand.

Brent futures rose 26 cents, or 0.9 percent, to settle at $28.08 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate crude contract (WTI) for June, which became the day’s more active contract, ended the session down 50 cents, or 2 percent, at $25.03.

The less active prompt WTI for May delivery tumbled by $1.60, or 8.1 percent, to $18.27, ahead of its April 21 expiration as investors rapidly switched out of that contract into June futures. The contract slumped to a low of $17.31 a barrel during the session, the lowest since November 2001.

May WTI futures slumped nearly 20 percent on the week, based on last Thursday’s settle, while Brent dropped nearly 11 percent. Markets were closed last Friday for Good Friday.

China’s economy shrank 6.8 percent year-on-year in the three months to March 31, the first such decline since quarterly records began in 1992. The nation’s daily refining output fell to a 15-month low, though there are some signs of recovery as the country begins to ease coronavirus containment measures.

Prices found some support as the US plans to ease lockdown measures after Trump laid out new guidelines for states to emerge from a coronavirus shutdown in a three-stage approach, but the early boost to Brent prices was largely short-lived.

Lending further support, US drillers cut 66 oil rigs this week, the biggest weekly cut since 2015 and bringing the total down to 438, the lowest since October 2016, energy services firm Baker Hughes Co said.

Still, fuel demand worldwide is down by roughly 30 percent. That prompted major producers including Russia, a grouping known as OPEC+, to agree to cut output by 10 million bpd last weekend.

“If more of the global economy enacts plans to reopen and restores some sense of normality, that could help oil prices find a firmer floor in May, aided by the OPEC+ supply cuts kicking in,” said FXTM analyst Han Tan.

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