BENGALURU – Emerging Asian equities and currencies were sharply lower on Friday as reports Israel attacked Iran in an escalation of tensions in the Middle East led investors to flee to safe-haven assets, including the US dollar.
South Korea’s won fell 0.7 percent against the dollar, leading regional declines. The Indonesian rupiah depreciated as much as 0.7 percent to a four-year low.
MSCI’s emerging market currency index fell by 0.5 percent to its lowest since Nov. 17. The index, hobbled by a strong dollar this year, has lost nearly 0.5 percent this week, set for its worst week since Jan. 19.
Asian equities didn’t fare much better as sentiment soured, with stocks in Bangkok Seoul and Manila all retreating nearly 2 percent each.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan sank to its worst week since June 2023, losing nearly 4 percent so far.
Besides the tensions in the Middle East, the dollar has got support from the hawkish repricing of US interest rate cut expectations due to strong economic data and as Federal Reserve officials said the fight against inflation is not over.
The dollar index – a measure of the greenback against six major rivals – has gained for two straight weeks and was last at 106.18, just below its five-month peak of 106.51 from earlier this week.
“We continue to see dollar strength weigh on EM Asia FX performance in the near term as markets re-price expectations for a rate cut from the Fed this year, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East expected to further exacerbate pressure on EM Asia assets,” said Aditya Sharma, emerging market strategist at NatWest Markets.
The rupiah is set for its worst week since March 2020, giving up nearly 3 percent so far. That volatility has dented the appeal of Indonesia’s high-yielding bond market, also hit by the wafer-thin spreads it offers over dollar markets.
Market participants now expect Bank Indonesia (BI) could raise rates as early as next week.
The Philippine peso and Taiwan dollar lost nearly 5 percent each, while Thailand’s baht fell a marginal 0.2 percent . The peso lost 1.7 percent for the week, the most since February 2023.
