November 24, 2017, 10:50 pm
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Wheat drops amid record Black Sea supplies

SINGAPORE- Chicago wheat futures slid on Tuesday, heading for a second straight losing session with pressure from record supplies from the Black Sea region making it difficult for US exporters to win business.

Soybeans dipped for a fourth consecutive session - although losses were marginal - on expectation of a reduction in US yields, while corn fell for the first time in three sessions as markets await key supply-demand reports to be issued by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).

The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board Of Trade eased 0.2 percent to $4.34 a bushel, having closed down 0.7 percent on Monday, when prices hit a low of $4.31-1/2 a bushel - the weakest since Aug. 31.

Soybeans were 0.2 percent lower at $9.58-1/4 a bushel after dropping on Monday to $9.56-3/4 a bushel, the lowest since Sept. 5. Corn gave up 0.3 percent to $3.56-1/2 a bushel.

“The market lacks evidence that US (wheat) exports are responding to more competitive US prices,” said Tobin Gorey, director of agricultural strategy at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

“We still think the evidence will emerge but understand the doubts.”

Losses in wheat futures came despite Australia lowering its crop production forecast. The Australian government lowered its estimate of the country’s 2017/18 wheat crop to 21.64 million tons, an eight-year low, from a March forecast of 23.98 million.

Russia’s wheat production has climbed to an all-time high while Ukraine is harvesting a large crop. These two countries and other exporters in the northern hemisphere are expected to keep global markets well supplied.

Meanwhile analysts expect the USDA to trim its US 2017 yield estimates for corn and soybeans.

The USDA in a weekly report said the US corn harvest was 5 percent complete, near the five-year average of 6 percent and ahead of the average trade estimate of 4 percent. But crop maturity lagged in key states. 

In Iowa, the top US corn producer, USDA said 15 percent of the crop was mature, below the five-year average of 28 percent. The corn crop in the No. 2 producer, Illinois, was 26 percent mature, compared to the five-year average of 41 percent. – Reuters 
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